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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2025-11-10T09:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2025-11-10T09:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42575/-1
CME Note: [PRELIMINARY] Halo CME seen in SOHO LASCO C2, SOHO LASCO C3, and GOES CCOR-1 and wide CME seen predominantly to the northeast in STEREO A COR2A in association with an eruptive X1.2-class solar flare from Active Region 14274 (N25W16). The solar flare is best seen in GOES SUVI 131 and a faint circular EUV wave is seen propagating shortly following the flare in GOES SUVI 195 and 284 angstrom imagers.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-11-11T22:11Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-12T02:30Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 6.0 - 8.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)
Prediction Method Note:

Please enter the following information for your prediction:
BoM ENLIL settings: 
ENLIL version: 2.7
Grid: 256x30x90
Resolution: low
Ambient settings: 
Ejecta settings: 
WSA version: 2.2
GONG: 

CME input parameters
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 10/1243UT
Radial velocity (km/s): 1141
Longitude (deg): 14W
Latitude (deg): 19N
Half-angular width (deg): 61

Notes:

Lead Time: 25.45 hour(s)
Difference: -4.32 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Duty Forecaster (ASWFC) on 2025-11-10T20:44Z

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